I was a participant in both Hypermind and XPT, but I recused myself from the MMLU question (among others) because I knew the GPT-4 result many months before the public.
This is a prediction market not a stock market, insider trading is highly encouraged. Don’t know about Jacob but I’d rather have more accurate predictions in my prediction market.
Strongly disagree. Employees of OpenAI and their alpha tester partners have obligations not to reveal secret information, whether by prediction market or other mechanism. Insider trading is not a sin against the market; it’s a sin against the entity that entrusted you with private information. If someone tells me information under an NDA, I am obligated not to trade on that information.
This is a prediction market not a stock market, insider trading is highly encouraged. Don’t know about Jacob but I’d rather have more accurate predictions in my prediction market.
Strongly disagree. Employees of OpenAI and their alpha tester partners have obligations not to reveal secret information, whether by prediction market or other mechanism. Insider trading is not a sin against the market; it’s a sin against the entity that entrusted you with private information. If someone tells me information under an NDA, I am obligated not to trade on that information.