Fine, with our current knowledge knowledge of physics the Alien trick would be almost impossible.
But shouldn’t we rather estimate the probability that future physicists would discover something radically new? And isn’t this proposition significantly harder to estimate? Making your secondary evidence less strong?
“You asked elsewhere why you are getting downvotes, and the brief answer is that you are dramatically over-weighing the strength of the relevant evidence.”
That’s why I said that my belief was not of much interest :)
The topic of this thread really shouldn’t be about my belief. It would be just as interesting as discussing the aesthetic merits of my left little toe.
Fine, with our current knowledge knowledge of physics the Alien trick would be almost impossible. But shouldn’t we rather estimate the probability that future physicists would discover something radically new? And isn’t this proposition significantly harder to estimate? Making your secondary evidence less strong?
“You asked elsewhere why you are getting downvotes, and the brief answer is that you are dramatically over-weighing the strength of the relevant evidence.”
That’s why I said that my belief was not of much interest :) The topic of this thread really shouldn’t be about my belief. It would be just as interesting as discussing the aesthetic merits of my left little toe.
Beliefs don’t exist outside of people (and other animals). If we want to talk about beliefs, we have to point inside at least one person’s head.