These are all set up to be stable scenarios that are also stereotypes of sorts, right? You ask about the probability mass of which one is the most likely. I like to think that this doesn’t mean the single correctly predicted scenario but the hybrid of the fractions of those. For example:
Accelerated Symbiosis: The process of development of AGI, goes on in parallel with human cognitive enhancements and a turbulent integration of AI into society. There are regulatory struggles, ethical challenges, and economic disruptions as humanity adapts. There are setbacks and close calls, but this co-evolution leads to diverse forms of oversight and steering of and by AI and humans enhanced to different degrees, including some left behind, some simulated, some lazy in paradise.
These are all set up to be stable scenarios that are also stereotypes of sorts, right? You ask about the probability mass of which one is the most likely. I like to think that this doesn’t mean the single correctly predicted scenario but the hybrid of the fractions of those. For example:
Accelerated Symbiosis: The process of development of AGI, goes on in parallel with human cognitive enhancements and a turbulent integration of AI into society. There are regulatory struggles, ethical challenges, and economic disruptions as humanity adapts. There are setbacks and close calls, but this co-evolution leads to diverse forms of oversight and steering of and by AI and humans enhanced to different degrees, including some left behind, some simulated, some lazy in paradise.