It’s pretty difficult to tell intuitively because the human mind is programmed to anthropomorphize. It’s a binary recognition; either it looks 100% human or it doesn’t.
We’re not built to compare 2 different systems that can do some human subroutines but not others. So AI could make a big leap approaching general intelligence, and the lion’s share of that leap could be visible or invisible based on how much the resulting behavior reminds us of ourselves.
Due to the anthropic principle, general intelligence could have a one-in-an-octillion chance of ever randomly evolving, anywhere, ever, and we would still be here observing all the successful steps having happened, because if all the steps didn’t happen then we wouldn’t be here observing anything. There would still be tons of animals like ants and chimpanzees because evolution always creates a ton of alternative “failed” offshoots. So it’s always possible that there’s some logical process that’s necessary for general intelligence, and we’re astronomically unlikely to discover it randomly, through brute forcing or even innovation, until we pinpoint all the exact lines of code in the human brain that distinguishes our intelligence from chimpanzees. But that’s only a possibility, far from a guarantee.
It’s pretty difficult to tell intuitively because the human mind is programmed to anthropomorphize. It’s a binary recognition; either it looks 100% human or it doesn’t.
We’re not built to compare 2 different systems that can do some human subroutines but not others. So AI could make a big leap approaching general intelligence, and the lion’s share of that leap could be visible or invisible based on how much the resulting behavior reminds us of ourselves.
Due to the anthropic principle, general intelligence could have a one-in-an-octillion chance of ever randomly evolving, anywhere, ever, and we would still be here observing all the successful steps having happened, because if all the steps didn’t happen then we wouldn’t be here observing anything. There would still be tons of animals like ants and chimpanzees because evolution always creates a ton of alternative “failed” offshoots. So it’s always possible that there’s some logical process that’s necessary for general intelligence, and we’re astronomically unlikely to discover it randomly, through brute forcing or even innovation, until we pinpoint all the exact lines of code in the human brain that distinguishes our intelligence from chimpanzees. But that’s only a possibility, far from a guarantee.