By looking at the data, squinting at some sumcurves, fitting some very speculative lines and sacrificing a pidgeon to the diviners I guess that of the 2300 ships that were lost were caused by:
1000 were due to Crab people (whose damage distribution doesn’t look like any of the others’, so I am guessing 50% of their attacks do more than 100%)
700 were due to Demon Whales (Looks like at least 2⁄3 of their attacks do more than 100% damage)
300 were due to merpeople (their damage might have 10% above 100)
200 were due to Nessie (seems around 15 − 20 % of damage above 100)
The last two are the most imprecise. None of the remaining encounters look like they could have any serious chance of sinking a ship, so let us leave the last 100 or thereabouts to them.
Judging by this I will suggest getting Armed Carpenters, 20 Oars and either 3 cannons or bribe the merpeople. I wil swing with the cannons, since Varsuvius law tells me that fewer merpeople means more other monsters, potentially Demon Whales. At last, if less damage is more important than saving money we could get foam swords, they won’t save our lives but might save on the ship repair costs in the long run.
My guesses after some pretty dirty analysis:
By looking at the data, squinting at some sumcurves, fitting some very speculative lines and sacrificing a pidgeon to the diviners I guess that of the 2300 ships that were lost were caused by:
1000 were due to Crab people (whose damage distribution doesn’t look like any of the others’, so I am guessing 50% of their attacks do more than 100%)
700 were due to Demon Whales (Looks like at least 2⁄3 of their attacks do more than 100% damage)
300 were due to merpeople (their damage might have 10% above 100)
200 were due to Nessie (seems around 15 − 20 % of damage above 100)
The last two are the most imprecise. None of the remaining encounters look like they could have any serious chance of sinking a ship, so let us leave the last 100 or thereabouts to them.
Judging by this I will suggest getting Armed Carpenters, 20 Oars and either 3 cannons or bribe the merpeople. I wil swing with the cannons, since Varsuvius law tells me that fewer merpeople means more other monsters, potentially Demon Whales. At last, if less damage is more important than saving money we could get foam swords, they won’t save our lives but might save on the ship repair costs in the long run.