I wonder how much risk compensation will happen for people who get vaccinated. If you start dining indoors instead of having MODified hangouts with friends, that’s something like 300x the risk according to the microCOVID Project whereas the vaccine gives you something like a 10x reduction in risk.
It might be 300x the risk of transmission, given one infected person, but if everyone is vaccinated the chance of any attendee being infected is reduced for every interaction they had leading up to the hangout.
Yeah, I don’t mean to imply that I think vaccinations will be a net negative for society due to risk compensation. I think they’ll be a net positive. People’s lifestyles are already risky enough such that at a society level, there isn’t room to 300x the risk.
I wonder how much risk compensation will happen for people who get vaccinated. If you start dining indoors instead of having MODified hangouts with friends, that’s something like 300x the risk according to the microCOVID Project whereas the vaccine gives you something like a 10x reduction in risk.
It might be 300x the risk of transmission, given one infected person, but if everyone is vaccinated the chance of any attendee being infected is reduced for every interaction they had leading up to the hangout.
Yeah, I don’t mean to imply that I think vaccinations will be a net negative for society due to risk compensation. I think they’ll be a net positive. People’s lifestyles are already risky enough such that at a society level, there isn’t room to 300x the risk.