But the one reason above all others is that the window of opportunity we are currently given may be the last step in the Great Filter, that we cannot know when it will close or if it does, whether it will ever open again.
Rather than running harder toward this window of yours, we should take special care to check what floor it’s on.
Not sure how else I should reply to something as vague as the original post. Not developing specific technologies might marginally increase risks of stagnation, but it might decrease risks from that technology, and depending on the technology in question, the latter effect might far outweigh the former. Without some reason why it wouldn’t, there’s no real case, just attempts at poetry.
Or if you need me to unpack grandparent, “it can be bad to worry too much about a window of opportunity possibly closing if there’s a possibility that the most obvious way to take the opportunity leads to disaster, and if one may be able to find other, better opportunities instead”.
Rather than running harder toward this window of yours, we should take special care to check what floor it’s on.
You might be taking the metaphor too far.
Not sure how else I should reply to something as vague as the original post. Not developing specific technologies might marginally increase risks of stagnation, but it might decrease risks from that technology, and depending on the technology in question, the latter effect might far outweigh the former. Without some reason why it wouldn’t, there’s no real case, just attempts at poetry.
Or if you need me to unpack grandparent, “it can be bad to worry too much about a window of opportunity possibly closing if there’s a possibility that the most obvious way to take the opportunity leads to disaster, and if one may be able to find other, better opportunities instead”.