Interesting. So, you have Robin Hanson’s belief that we won’t get a strong singleton; but you lack his belief that emulated minds will be able to evaluate each other’s abilities with enough confidence that trade (taking into account the expected value of fighting) will be superior to fighting? That’s quite the idiosyncratic position, especially for 95% confidence.
Interesting. So, you have Robin Hanson’s belief that we won’t get a strong singleton; but you lack his belief that emulated minds will be able to evaluate each other’s abilities with enough confidence that trade (taking into account the expected value of fighting) will be superior to fighting? That’s quite the idiosyncratic position, especially for 95% confidence.