Rain comments on Why We Can’t Take Expected Value Estimates Literally (Even When They’re Unbiased)

[Rain]

I thought he was taking the “don’t bother” approach by not giving a probability estimate or arguing about probabilities.

In any case, there’s still the question of what is rational for those of us who do think SIAI’s chance of success is “small”.

I propose that the rational act is to investigate approaches to greater than human intelligence which would succeed.

[Jordan]

I propose that the rational act is to investigate approaches to greater than human intelligence which would succeed.

This. I’m flabbergasted this isn’t pursued further.