(Brief foreword: You really should read much more of the sequences. In particular How to Actually Change Your Mind, but there are also blog posts on Religion. I hope that one thing that comes out of this discussion is a rapid growth of those links on your wiki info page...)
What are the requirements to be a member of the LessWrong community? If we upvote your comments, then we value them and on average we hope you stay. If we downvote them, we don’t value them and we hope either that they improve or you leave. Your karma is pretty positive, so stay.
You seem to be expecting a different shape of answer, about certain criteria you have to meet, about being an aspiring rationalist, or being above the sanity waterline, or some such. Those things will likely correlate with how your comments are received, but you need not reach for such proxies when asking whether you should stay when you have more direct data. From the other side, we need not feel bound by some sort of transparent criteria we propose to set out in order to be seen to be fair in the decisions we make about this; we all make our own judgement calls on what comments we value with the vote buttons.
I think you’re led to expect a different sort of answer because you’re coming at this from the point of view of what Eliezer calls Traditional Rationality—rationality as a set of social rules. So your question is, am I allowed this belief? If challenged, can I defend it such that those who hear it acknowledge I’ve met the challenge? Or can I argue that it should not be required to meet these challenges?
This of course is an entirely bogus question. The primary question that should occupy you is whether your beliefs are accurate, and how to make them more accurate. This community should not be about “how can I be seen to be a goodthinking person” but “how can I be less wrong?”
Also, it seems very much as if you already know how things are going to swing when you subject your theistic beliefs to critical examination. That being so, it’s hard to know whether you actually believe in God, or just believe that you believe in God. I hope you will decide that more accurate beliefs are better in all areas of study for several reasons, but one is that I doubt that you are maximizing your own happiness. You are currently in a state of limbo on the subject of religion, where you openly admit that you daren’t really think about it. I think that you will indeed find the process of really thinking about it painful, but it will be just as painful next year as it will be now, and if you do it now you’ll avoid a year of limbo, a year of feeling bad about yourself for not goodthinking, and a year of being mistaken about something very important.
This of course is an entirely bogus question. The primary question that should occupy you is whether your beliefs are accurate, and how to make them more accurate. This community should not be about “how can I be seen to be a goodthinking person” but “how can I be less wrong?”
This seems along similar lines to my initial reaction: “belief in God” is an undefined statement, since “God” is undefined (or, alternatively, has so many possible definitions that one is left with more noise than signal), and therefore such a statement does not automatically have any particular implications for your level of rationality. Given without any further context (real-world implications, specific definition of “God”, etc.) it is more a social tag (statement of identification with the set of people who say they “believe in God”) than anything else.
Are there any implications of this belief which affect how you treat other people? Do any of those implications put you at odds with beliefs which are also reasonable if one does not believe in the existence of [your definition of] God?
OTOH, saying you “believe” in some mostly vacuous statement that you were raised to believe, while not really believing anymore in most of the more obviously false beliefs in the same package, doesn’t reflect very poorly on your rationality. (I’m not sure to what extent this applies to MrHen.)
ETA: I view belief in god in a growing rationalist as sort of a vestigial thing. It’ll eventually just wither and fall off.
It reflects less poorly than seriously believing in astrology, perhaps. But it’s still Not Good, the more so if you’ve been warned. “Just give up already and admit you were completely wrong from the beginning” is not a trivial or dispensable skill.
It’s “not good” on the large scale, but it seems to me that on an individual level MrHen has done a very positive thing—perhaps two: (1) admitted openly, in front of a crowd known for its non-theism, that he is a theist and holds a belief for which he fully expected some censure; (2) did not cling defensively to that belief.
On #2: His focus on a possible change in his “rationalist” group membership as a result of that belief could be seen as an attempt to divert scrutiny away from his actual belief so that he would not have to defend (and possibly question) it—but it did not feel to me like that sort of move; it felt more like he was expecting this group to behave much the same way that a religious group would behave if he had openly admitted disbelieving some item of their doctrine: a mis-application of previously experienced behavior, not a diversionary tactic.
I fully agree that these are impressive subskills that have been displayed, but let us not also forget that it is better to be unimpressively right than impressively wrong. (E.g. Chalmers.)
Is “query-hugging” a term which has been used elsewhere (e.g. some LW post I should have read)? If I’m interpreting the question correctly, I’m hoping MrHen will now fearlessly examine his “belief in God” and figure out what that means in non-metaphorical real-world terms.
For example, does his God merely provide an uplifting example of goodness for us all to follow, through a series of stories which are not literally true and which one is free to interpret as one wishes? Or (to take a moderate non-liberal theist stance) does his God have a firm belief that gay people, while entitled to the doctrine of “live and let live”, are not properly fulfilling some Plan and therefore are not entitled to the same protections as others? Does his God plan to return only after some terrible cataclysm has befallen mankind (and which, therefore, perhaps we should not work so hard to prevent)? Does his God have opinions about the “right to life” of fetal tissue, working on the Sabbath (and which day exactly is the Sabbath… and what constitutes “work”), the value of evidence and reason over faith and doctrine?
I’m not sure why my comment is at −1. People often start out at disadvantage, no matter how rational their character, and no matter what their potential*. You can’t expect immediate maturity. I was raised as a fundamentalist Christian. I took it pretty seriously around the age of 14 or so, so much that I started looking into apologetics (the rational defense of the faith). After critically evaluating all the arguments for and against, I ended up abandoning the faith within a couple years. If my parents hadn’t gone down the path of fundamentalism (which only started when I was around 8 anyway—before that they were much more average-like Christians) then I probably wouldn’t have become an atheist nearly as soon. I find it unlikely that I wouldn’t have ended up as a rationalist, though.
* Of course, people who are raised as rationalists have more potential, but potential has more to do with intelligence and disposition than upbringing.
The fuzzword has no universally accepted definition, but the speaker may have a specific definition for it—and that definition could, at least theoretically, be one in which it is entirely rational to believe.
Rather than presuming that just because this is not the case 99.9...% of the time, I wanted to make the point that it really does depend what that definition is… (a specific case of the more general point that rationalism isn’t about group membership or [not] saying certain things, but about how you make decisions) and that this is why a rationalist wouldn’t automatically characterize “belief in God” as irrational.
Hmm, well, I have to admit that I did that, internally… and now I’m trying to figure out why I didn’t want to do it outwardly.
(several wodges of deleted text later...)
Labeling a belief as “irrational” without giving a reason is (a) likely to elicit an emotional defensive response which will inhibit self-critical thinking, and (b) doesn’t address the issue of why we believe said belief to be irrational, so is just a kind of argument-from-authority (we are rationalists, which means we are rational, and we say your belief is irrational; therefore it is) which is not a good process to follow if we want to be less wrong.
...so handling it that way, if our goal is to maximize rationality in others, would be irrational.
And we can’t address the issue of why it is irrational until we know what it actually means; saying “I believe in God” isn’t really a whole lot more meaningful than “The Gostak distims the Doshes”. Heck, I can truthfully say it myself: I believe in God—as a fictional character from an ancient mythology which somehow manages to dominate political discourse in this country. Certainly that God (a character in people’s minds) exists, and is very powerful, and it would be irrational of me to deny this.
Yes, “everyone knows” that if you say “I believe in God” it means you believe in a sentient universe-creator (who probably possesses a number of additional characteristics which compel you to behave in certain ways) -- but the actual words don’t inherently mean that, which is why I say that it is more of a “social label” than a statement regarding factual matters.
I should think it would not apply to any well-defined assertion of fact—e.g “The universe was created by a conscious entity” is a statement we could discuss further—though “There is evidence that the universe was created by a conscious entity” would be better, because then we are one step further into the dialogue.
Better still would be to add ”...and that evidence is [insert argument here]”, because then we have a specific line of reasoning to look at and say “No, this doesn’t make sense because [fill in counter-argument]”, allowing the other person to then explain why our counter is wrong… and so on.
As it is… can we even have a discussion about whether the Gostak distims the Doshes, or whether it is rational to believe that this is true? Not really, because the terms are undefined; we don’t know what is being “believed”. Same with “God”, even though we know what might be (indeed, probably is) intended.
Thinking about it, this phenomenon of having a few handy exceptions to a generally-reliable rule is something frequently exploited by theists (and faitheists).
Theists freely use “God” as a club 99% of the time, to bash people into line and promote their meme, but then on those few occasions when they are backed into a corner by a skeptic they can always say “This? Oh no no, this isn’t a club for bashing people, it’s just a piece of found art I like to keep on my desk and through which I enjoy contemplating nature’s beauty.”
So it’s very important to identify what we’re talking about. If MrHen claims his God is really just a piece of found art, then we have rational grounds for objection if we ever see him using it as a club. If he openly admits that it’s a club, then we can object on rational grounds to the idea of bashing people.
While I agree with the overall point of this comment, the 99% statistic seems very wrong to me. I expect that for some individuals that’s true, but across the whole population I’d be surprised if it’s much higher than 40%. I’m basing my estimate on, among other things, having worked in a Roman Catholic nursing home (with actual nuns, though I didn’t interact with them often) for four years and not making any particular effort to hide the fact that I’m an atheist from my co-workers. (The residents, I took on a case-by-case basis, as seemed appropriate given the situation.) I experienced exactly one instance in those four years of someone objecting more strongly than ‘wait, what?’ to my lack of faith: The leader of a new bible study group took offense when I didn’t actively participate in their event (and got in my face about it in front of my residents, which you just *don’t do* - I was much more upset about her upsetting them than anything else), and my supervisor’s reaction to that was to apologize profusely to me (and not about the residents having been upset, either, heh) and forbid that group from coming back. The vast majority of instances where religion came up were either in social bonding contexts or as personal or interpersonal reassurances (‘s/he’s in heaven now’) that were rarely to never directed at me by people who were aware of my atheism, and easily ignorable in any case.
“99.999...%” was intended to refer to the portion of self-identified theists whose theistic beliefs would be demonstrably irrational if explored.
It sounds like you’re talking about the portion of self-identified theists who are offended by atheism—a number which I would expect to be substantially lower.
I used that “99%” thing twice—I apologize for getting muddled about which one you were referring to.
Since we’re talking about the “bashing” figure: I maintain that the overwhelming majority of the time when “God” is invoked in the political field, it is being used as a club to bash people into line and promote religious ideas.
I maintain that the overwhelming majority of the time when “God” is invoked in the political field, it is being used as a club to bash people into line and promote religious ideas.
I’d agree with that; I don’t see much other reason to bring religion up, in that context. I expect that politics, some kinds of child-rearing, and provoked debates constitute the bulk of instances where religion is used as a club, and that those situations aren’t the bulk of the instances where religion is used at all. (My estimate for how often religion is used as a club compared to other uses, outside those contexts, is considerably less than 10%. People live this stuff even when we’re not around for them to fight with, after all.)
Perhaps what we are working towards, then, is a recognition that an irrational belief which is Mostly Harmless in personal life can become a deadly threat when let loose in the wrong habitat (such as the political field) -- and that therefore people who wish to embrace this Mostly Harmless irrational belief are much like exotic pet owners in that they need to be aware that their cute furry wuggums can be a serious hazard if not properly contained and cared for.
To bring this back to the original issue—i.e. why it’s necessary for MrHen to explain what his belief means before anyone can claim it is rational or otherwise—and complete the metaphor:
Believing in God is rather like owning a pet. It may or may not be a particularly rational thing to do (you have to spend a lot of time and money nurturing it, and the benefit you get in return is pretty much entirely psychological), but some pets are much more dangerous than others… and the degree of danger may not have any relationship to how cute and harmless they seem when you first adopt them.
some pets are much more dangerous than others… and the degree of danger may not have any relationship to how cute and harmless they seem when you first adopt them.
And once you start owning a cute little pet, it opens the door to owning larger and more dangerous pets.
I maintain that the overwhelming majority of the time when “God” is invoked in the political field, it is being used as a club to bash people into line and promote religious ideas.
It is appropriate, then, that politics is referred to as the skillful use of blunt instruments.
Your observations may be somewhat different from mine. I don’t know where you reside but I know that in the US, for example, ‘God’ plays more part in politics than it does here in Australia.
It depends what context we’re sampling from. I was thinking of discussion in the media, and/or politics in general, where religion’s main contribution seems to be as I described it: demands that the speaker’s particular beliefs be given precedence because they come “from God”—a club for bashing people into line.
Yes, the 99% figure was overprecise; I probably should have said “the overwhelming majority of the time”. It would be an interesting study to actually count the number of “bashing people into line” usages versus all other political uses of religion; perhaps religion-based pleas for charity and mercy don’t get counted because they seem sane—something anyone reasonable would say—so my unconscious reference-counter doesn’t add them to religion’s score.
In any case, your definition-swapping with the word “club” completely misses my point. To whatever extent MrHen uses God as a club-for-joining (what I called a “social label”), I have no objection.
It is the other sort of club I want MrHen either to specifically reject or defend: does he accept such usage of “belief in God” (if someone says God said it, it must be true), or do reason and critical thinking prevail if someone tries to persuade him that he must do X because of his belief?
Yes, I agree with you here. It looks to me like one of the core values of the community revolves around first evaluating each individual belief for its rationality, as opposed to evaluating the individual. And this seems very sensible to me—given how compartmentalized brains can be, and how rationality in one individual can vary over time.
Also, I am amused by the parallels between this core value, and one of the core principles of computer security in the context of banking transactions. As Scheiner describes it, evaluate the transaction not the end user
first evaluating each individual belief for its rationality Again, no, I’m afraid you’re still making the same mistake. When you talk about evaluating a belief for its rationality, it still sounds like the mindset where you’re trying to work out if the necessary duty has been done to the rationality dance, so that a belief may be allowed in polite society. But our first concern should be: is this true? Does this map match the territory? And rationality is whatever systematically tends to improve the accuracy of your map. If you fail to achieve a correct answer, it is futile to protest that you acted with propriety.
“Rational” is a systematic process for arriving at true beliefs (or high-scoring probability distributions), so if you want true beliefs, you’ll think in the ways you think are “rational”. But even in the very best case, you’ll hit on 10% probabilities one time out of ten.
I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, though; it’s possible that Ciphergoth is trying to correct a mistake that isn’t there.
Well, if you got a very improbable result from a body of data; I could see this happening. For example, if most of a group given a medication improved significantly over the control group, but the sample size wasn’t large enough and the improvement was actually coincidence, then it would be rational to believe that it’s an effective medication… but it wouldn’t be true.
Then again, we should only have as much confidence in our proposition as there is evidence for it, so we’d include a whatever-percent possibility of coincidence. I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, either.
I’ve since learned that some people use the word “rationality” to mean “skills we use to win arguments and convince people to take our point of view to be true”, as opposed to the definition which I’ve come to expect on this site (currently, on an overly poetic whim, I’d summarize it as “a meta-recursively applied, optimized, truth-finding and decision making process”—actual definition here).
(Brief foreword: You really should read much more of the sequences. In particular How to Actually Change Your Mind, but there are also blog posts on Religion. I hope that one thing that comes out of this discussion is a rapid growth of those links on your wiki info page...)
What are the requirements to be a member of the LessWrong community? If we upvote your comments, then we value them and on average we hope you stay. If we downvote them, we don’t value them and we hope either that they improve or you leave. Your karma is pretty positive, so stay.
You seem to be expecting a different shape of answer, about certain criteria you have to meet, about being an aspiring rationalist, or being above the sanity waterline, or some such. Those things will likely correlate with how your comments are received, but you need not reach for such proxies when asking whether you should stay when you have more direct data. From the other side, we need not feel bound by some sort of transparent criteria we propose to set out in order to be seen to be fair in the decisions we make about this; we all make our own judgement calls on what comments we value with the vote buttons.
I think you’re led to expect a different sort of answer because you’re coming at this from the point of view of what Eliezer calls Traditional Rationality—rationality as a set of social rules. So your question is, am I allowed this belief? If challenged, can I defend it such that those who hear it acknowledge I’ve met the challenge? Or can I argue that it should not be required to meet these challenges?
This of course is an entirely bogus question. The primary question that should occupy you is whether your beliefs are accurate, and how to make them more accurate. This community should not be about “how can I be seen to be a goodthinking person” but “how can I be less wrong?”
Also, it seems very much as if you already know how things are going to swing when you subject your theistic beliefs to critical examination. That being so, it’s hard to know whether you actually believe in God, or just believe that you believe in God. I hope you will decide that more accurate beliefs are better in all areas of study for several reasons, but one is that I doubt that you are maximizing your own happiness. You are currently in a state of limbo on the subject of religion, where you openly admit that you daren’t really think about it. I think that you will indeed find the process of really thinking about it painful, but it will be just as painful next year as it will be now, and if you do it now you’ll avoid a year of limbo, a year of feeling bad about yourself for not goodthinking, and a year of being mistaken about something very important.
I like this. This clarifies a lot for me.
This seems along similar lines to my initial reaction: “belief in God” is an undefined statement, since “God” is undefined (or, alternatively, has so many possible definitions that one is left with more noise than signal), and therefore such a statement does not automatically have any particular implications for your level of rationality. Given without any further context (real-world implications, specific definition of “God”, etc.) it is more a social tag (statement of identification with the set of people who say they “believe in God”) than anything else.
Are there any implications of this belief which affect how you treat other people? Do any of those implications put you at odds with beliefs which are also reasonable if one does not believe in the existence of [your definition of] God?
Saying you believe in an undefined and undefinable fuzzword doesn’t reflect well on your high-level mastery of rationality either.
OTOH, saying you “believe” in some mostly vacuous statement that you were raised to believe, while not really believing anymore in most of the more obviously false beliefs in the same package, doesn’t reflect very poorly on your rationality. (I’m not sure to what extent this applies to MrHen.)
ETA: I view belief in god in a growing rationalist as sort of a vestigial thing. It’ll eventually just wither and fall off.
It reflects less poorly than seriously believing in astrology, perhaps. But it’s still Not Good, the more so if you’ve been warned. “Just give up already and admit you were completely wrong from the beginning” is not a trivial or dispensable skill.
It’s “not good” on the large scale, but it seems to me that on an individual level MrHen has done a very positive thing—perhaps two: (1) admitted openly, in front of a crowd known for its non-theism, that he is a theist and holds a belief for which he fully expected some censure; (2) did not cling defensively to that belief.
On #2: His focus on a possible change in his “rationalist” group membership as a result of that belief could be seen as an attempt to divert scrutiny away from his actual belief so that he would not have to defend (and possibly question) it—but it did not feel to me like that sort of move; it felt more like he was expecting this group to behave much the same way that a religious group would behave if he had openly admitted disbelieving some item of their doctrine: a mis-application of previously experienced behavior, not a diversionary tactic.
I fully agree that these are impressive subskills that have been displayed, but let us not also forget that it is better to be unimpressively right than impressively wrong. (E.g. Chalmers.)
With all this assessment of how positive MrHen’s actions are, what is the query you’re trying to hug?
Is “query-hugging” a term which has been used elsewhere (e.g. some LW post I should have read)? If I’m interpreting the question correctly, I’m hoping MrHen will now fearlessly examine his “belief in God” and figure out what that means in non-metaphorical real-world terms.
For example, does his God merely provide an uplifting example of goodness for us all to follow, through a series of stories which are not literally true and which one is free to interpret as one wishes? Or (to take a moderate non-liberal theist stance) does his God have a firm belief that gay people, while entitled to the doctrine of “live and let live”, are not properly fulfilling some Plan and therefore are not entitled to the same protections as others? Does his God plan to return only after some terrible cataclysm has befallen mankind (and which, therefore, perhaps we should not work so hard to prevent)? Does his God have opinions about the “right to life” of fetal tissue, working on the Sabbath (and which day exactly is the Sabbath… and what constitutes “work”), the value of evidence and reason over faith and doctrine?
Hug the Query
So the question is, what difference in expectations are you hoping to discriminate between?
I’m not sure why my comment is at −1. People often start out at disadvantage, no matter how rational their character, and no matter what their potential*. You can’t expect immediate maturity. I was raised as a fundamentalist Christian. I took it pretty seriously around the age of 14 or so, so much that I started looking into apologetics (the rational defense of the faith). After critically evaluating all the arguments for and against, I ended up abandoning the faith within a couple years. If my parents hadn’t gone down the path of fundamentalism (which only started when I was around 8 anyway—before that they were much more average-like Christians) then I probably wouldn’t have become an atheist nearly as soon. I find it unlikely that I wouldn’t have ended up as a rationalist, though.
* Of course, people who are raised as rationalists have more potential, but potential has more to do with intelligence and disposition than upbringing.
The fuzzword has no universally accepted definition, but the speaker may have a specific definition for it—and that definition could, at least theoretically, be one in which it is entirely rational to believe.
Rather than presuming that just because this is not the case 99.9...% of the time, I wanted to make the point that it really does depend what that definition is… (a specific case of the more general point that rationalism isn’t about group membership or [not] saying certain things, but about how you make decisions) and that this is why a rationalist wouldn’t automatically characterize “belief in God” as irrational.
If it is not the case 99.9...% of the time then a rationalist certainly would characterize “belief in God” as irrational, with probability 99.9...%.
Hmm, well, I have to admit that I did that, internally… and now I’m trying to figure out why I didn’t want to do it outwardly.
(several wodges of deleted text later...)
Labeling a belief as “irrational” without giving a reason is (a) likely to elicit an emotional defensive response which will inhibit self-critical thinking, and (b) doesn’t address the issue of why we believe said belief to be irrational, so is just a kind of argument-from-authority (we are rationalists, which means we are rational, and we say your belief is irrational; therefore it is) which is not a good process to follow if we want to be less wrong.
...so handling it that way, if our goal is to maximize rationality in others, would be irrational.
And we can’t address the issue of why it is irrational until we know what it actually means; saying “I believe in God” isn’t really a whole lot more meaningful than “The Gostak distims the Doshes”. Heck, I can truthfully say it myself: I believe in God—as a fictional character from an ancient mythology which somehow manages to dominate political discourse in this country. Certainly that God (a character in people’s minds) exists, and is very powerful, and it would be irrational of me to deny this.
Yes, “everyone knows” that if you say “I believe in God” it means you believe in a sentient universe-creator (who probably possesses a number of additional characteristics which compel you to behave in certain ways) -- but the actual words don’t inherently mean that, which is why I say that it is more of a “social label” than a statement regarding factual matters.
What assertions does this reasoning not apply to?
I should think it would not apply to any well-defined assertion of fact—e.g “The universe was created by a conscious entity” is a statement we could discuss further—though “There is evidence that the universe was created by a conscious entity” would be better, because then we are one step further into the dialogue.
Better still would be to add ”...and that evidence is [insert argument here]”, because then we have a specific line of reasoning to look at and say “No, this doesn’t make sense because [fill in counter-argument]”, allowing the other person to then explain why our counter is wrong… and so on.
As it is… can we even have a discussion about whether the Gostak distims the Doshes, or whether it is rational to believe that this is true? Not really, because the terms are undefined; we don’t know what is being “believed”. Same with “God”, even though we know what might be (indeed, probably is) intended.
Thinking about it, this phenomenon of having a few handy exceptions to a generally-reliable rule is something frequently exploited by theists (and faitheists).
Theists freely use “God” as a club 99% of the time, to bash people into line and promote their meme, but then on those few occasions when they are backed into a corner by a skeptic they can always say “This? Oh no no, this isn’t a club for bashing people, it’s just a piece of found art I like to keep on my desk and through which I enjoy contemplating nature’s beauty.”
So it’s very important to identify what we’re talking about. If MrHen claims his God is really just a piece of found art, then we have rational grounds for objection if we ever see him using it as a club. If he openly admits that it’s a club, then we can object on rational grounds to the idea of bashing people.
While I agree with the overall point of this comment, the 99% statistic seems very wrong to me. I expect that for some individuals that’s true, but across the whole population I’d be surprised if it’s much higher than 40%. I’m basing my estimate on, among other things, having worked in a Roman Catholic nursing home (with actual nuns, though I didn’t interact with them often) for four years and not making any particular effort to hide the fact that I’m an atheist from my co-workers. (The residents, I took on a case-by-case basis, as seemed appropriate given the situation.) I experienced exactly one instance in those four years of someone objecting more strongly than ‘wait, what?’ to my lack of faith: The leader of a new bible study group took offense when I didn’t actively participate in their event (and got in my face about it in front of my residents, which you just *don’t do* - I was much more upset about her upsetting them than anything else), and my supervisor’s reaction to that was to apologize profusely to me (and not about the residents having been upset, either, heh) and forbid that group from coming back. The vast majority of instances where religion came up were either in social bonding contexts or as personal or interpersonal reassurances (‘s/he’s in heaven now’) that were rarely to never directed at me by people who were aware of my atheism, and easily ignorable in any case.
Strawmen aren’t good, ok?
“99.999...%” was intended to refer to the portion of self-identified theists whose theistic beliefs would be demonstrably irrational if explored.
It sounds like you’re talking about the portion of self-identified theists who are offended by atheism—a number which I would expect to be substantially lower.
I used that “99%” thing twice—I apologize for getting muddled about which one you were referring to.
Since we’re talking about the “bashing” figure: I maintain that the overwhelming majority of the time when “God” is invoked in the political field, it is being used as a club to bash people into line and promote religious ideas.
I’d agree with that; I don’t see much other reason to bring religion up, in that context. I expect that politics, some kinds of child-rearing, and provoked debates constitute the bulk of instances where religion is used as a club, and that those situations aren’t the bulk of the instances where religion is used at all. (My estimate for how often religion is used as a club compared to other uses, outside those contexts, is considerably less than 10%. People live this stuff even when we’re not around for them to fight with, after all.)
Perhaps what we are working towards, then, is a recognition that an irrational belief which is Mostly Harmless in personal life can become a deadly threat when let loose in the wrong habitat (such as the political field) -- and that therefore people who wish to embrace this Mostly Harmless irrational belief are much like exotic pet owners in that they need to be aware that their cute furry wuggums can be a serious hazard if not properly contained and cared for.
To bring this back to the original issue—i.e. why it’s necessary for MrHen to explain what his belief means before anyone can claim it is rational or otherwise—and complete the metaphor:
Believing in God is rather like owning a pet. It may or may not be a particularly rational thing to do (you have to spend a lot of time and money nurturing it, and the benefit you get in return is pretty much entirely psychological), but some pets are much more dangerous than others… and the degree of danger may not have any relationship to how cute and harmless they seem when you first adopt them.
And once you start owning a cute little pet, it opens the door to owning larger and more dangerous pets.
That sounds about right.
It is appropriate, then, that politics is referred to as the skillful use of blunt instruments.
Your observations may be somewhat different from mine. I don’t know where you reside but I know that in the US, for example, ‘God’ plays more part in politics than it does here in Australia.
It seems you have suffered from the blunt end of a selection effect.
Perhaps:
It depends what context we’re sampling from. I was thinking of discussion in the media, and/or politics in general, where religion’s main contribution seems to be as I described it: demands that the speaker’s particular beliefs be given precedence because they come “from God”—a club for bashing people into line.
Yes, the 99% figure was overprecise; I probably should have said “the overwhelming majority of the time”. It would be an interesting study to actually count the number of “bashing people into line” usages versus all other political uses of religion; perhaps religion-based pleas for charity and mercy don’t get counted because they seem sane—something anyone reasonable would say—so my unconscious reference-counter doesn’t add them to religion’s score.
In any case, your definition-swapping with the word “club” completely misses my point. To whatever extent MrHen uses God as a club-for-joining (what I called a “social label”), I have no objection.
It is the other sort of club I want MrHen either to specifically reject or defend: does he accept such usage of “belief in God” (if someone says God said it, it must be true), or do reason and critical thinking prevail if someone tries to persuade him that he must do X because of his belief?
Thanks. You should definitely read No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws, from which this idea is largely drawn.
Yes, I agree with you here. It looks to me like one of the core values of the community revolves around first evaluating each individual belief for its rationality, as opposed to evaluating the individual. And this seems very sensible to me—given how compartmentalized brains can be, and how rationality in one individual can vary over time.
Also, I am amused by the parallels between this core value, and one of the core principles of computer security in the context of banking transactions. As Scheiner describes it, evaluate the transaction not the end user
first evaluating each individual belief for its rationality Again, no, I’m afraid you’re still making the same mistake. When you talk about evaluating a belief for its rationality, it still sounds like the mindset where you’re trying to work out if the necessary duty has been done to the rationality dance, so that a belief may be allowed in polite society. But our first concern should be: is this true? Does this map match the territory? And rationality is whatever systematically tends to improve the accuracy of your map. If you fail to achieve a correct answer, it is futile to protest that you acted with propriety.
Now I am really confused. How can a belief be rational, and not true?
“Rational” is a systematic process for arriving at true beliefs (or high-scoring probability distributions), so if you want true beliefs, you’ll think in the ways you think are “rational”. But even in the very best case, you’ll hit on 10% probabilities one time out of ten.
I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, though; it’s possible that Ciphergoth is trying to correct a mistake that isn’t there.
Well, if you got a very improbable result from a body of data; I could see this happening. For example, if most of a group given a medication improved significantly over the control group, but the sample size wasn’t large enough and the improvement was actually coincidence, then it would be rational to believe that it’s an effective medication… but it wouldn’t be true.
Then again, we should only have as much confidence in our proposition as there is evidence for it, so we’d include a whatever-percent possibility of coincidence. I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, either.
I’ve since learned that some people use the word “rationality” to mean “skills we use to win arguments and convince people to take our point of view to be true”, as opposed to the definition which I’ve come to expect on this site (currently, on an overly poetic whim, I’d summarize it as “a meta-recursively applied, optimized, truth-finding and decision making process”—actual definition here).