but u don’t know which distribution(s) u are acting in. u only have access to a sample dist, so u are going to underestimate the variance unless u ~Bessel-correct[1] ur intuitions. and it matters which parts of the dists u tune ur sensors for: do u care more to abt sensitivity/specificity wrt the median cluster or sensitivity/specificity wrt the outliers?
ig sufficiently advanced vibes-based pattern-matching collapses to doing causal modelling, so my real-complaint is abt ppl whose vibe-sensors are under-dimensional.
So you seem to be doing a top down reasoning here, going from math to a model of the human brain. I didn’t actually have something like that in mind, and instead was doing bottom up reasoning, where I had a bunch of experiences involving people that gave me a sense for what it means to (1) do vibes-based pattern-matching, and (2) also get a sense for which when you should trust and not trust your intuitions. I really don’t think it is that hard, actually!
Also your Remnote link is broken, and I think it is pretty cool that you use Remnote.
but u don’t know which distribution(s) u are acting in. u only have access to a sample dist, so u are going to underestimate the variance unless u ~Bessel-correct[1] ur intuitions. and it matters which parts of the dists u tune ur sensors for: do u care more to abt sensitivity/specificity wrt the median cluster or sensitivity/specificity wrt the outliers?
ig sufficiently advanced vibes-based pattern-matching collapses to doing causal modelling, so my real-complaint is abt ppl whose vibe-sensors are under-dimensional.
idk the right math tricks to use are, i just wanted to mk the point that sample dists underestimate the variance of the true dists
also, oops, fixed link. upvoted ur comment bc u complimented me for using RemNote, which shows good taste.
So you seem to be doing a top down reasoning here, going from math to a model of the human brain. I didn’t actually have something like that in mind, and instead was doing bottom up reasoning, where I had a bunch of experiences involving people that gave me a sense for what it means to (1) do vibes-based pattern-matching, and (2) also get a sense for which when you should trust and not trust your intuitions. I really don’t think it is that hard, actually!
Also your Remnote link is broken, and I think it is pretty cool that you use Remnote.