...there’s nothing particularly “Bayesian” about Nate Silver’s methodology. It’s just intelligently weighted average of polling data.
Theories describing reality at a deep level have problems such as unclear intellectual ownership of intelligent methods when the methods aren’t clearly inspired by the theoretical tradition. It’s a good problem to have.
Theories describing reality at a deep level have problems such as unclear intellectual ownership of intelligent methods when the methods aren’t clearly inspired by the theoretical tradition. It’s a good problem to have.