Quite so. If this type of future does indeed come to pass, where large groups of people become ZMP (zero marginal product) workers without jobs, then everything is different.
If we give UBI to the poor now, we want to help their lives be better now and to consume more and also we want them to invest in becoming more productive.
In a world where those people cannot gainfully work, then work is a cost, not a benefit. UBI would hit very differently. A study like this tells us little about that world.
I also expect that world to come within our lifetimes, though there is a tail possibility of it taking more than 50 years to fully materialize.
I will say even in that case the best argument against UBI is essentially a combo of inflation and rent-seeking concerns, even in a world where humans are mostly useless relative to AIs.
I also expect that world to come within our lifetimes, though there is a tail possibility of it taking more than 50 years to fully materialize.
I will say even in that case the best argument against UBI is essentially a combo of inflation and rent-seeking concerns, even in a world where humans are mostly useless relative to AIs.