I should note that my previous comment is all theoretical wankery. In practice, there is no way that I’ll accept any evidence that a predictor has 10^-24 chance of being wrong. I’m going to take the right box.
I won’t even trust that the right box won’t blow up, since the scenario I’ve been kidnapped into has obviously been devised by a sadistic bastard, and I wouldn’t put it past them to put bombs in both boxes (or under the floor) no matter what the alleged predictor supposedly thinks. Just maybe there’s a slightly better chance of surviving by paying the $100.
I should note that my previous comment is all theoretical wankery. In practice, there is no way that I’ll accept any evidence that a predictor has 10^-24 chance of being wrong. I’m going to take the right box.
I won’t even trust that the right box won’t blow up, since the scenario I’ve been kidnapped into has obviously been devised by a sadistic bastard, and I wouldn’t put it past them to put bombs in both boxes (or under the floor) no matter what the alleged predictor supposedly thinks. Just maybe there’s a slightly better chance of surviving by paying the $100.