By the way, I want to point out that you apparently disagree with Heighn on this. He says, as I understand him, that if you pick Left, you do indeed burn to death, but this is fine, because in [1 trillion trillion minus one] possible worlds, you live and pay nothing. But you instead say that if you pick Left… something happens… and the bomb in the Left box, which you were just staring directly at, disappears somehow. Or wasn’t ever there (somehow), even though, again, you were just looking right at it.
How do you reconcile this disagreement? One of you has to be wrong about the consequences of picking the Left box.
I think we agree. My stance: if you Left-box, that just means the predictor predicted that with probability close to 1. From there on, there are a trillion trillion − 1 possible worlds where you live for free, and 1 where you die.
I’m not saying “You die, but that’s fine, because there are possible worlds where you live”. I’m saying that “you die” is a possible world, and there are way more possible worlds where you live.
By the way, I want to point out that you apparently disagree with Heighn on this. He says, as I understand him, that if you pick Left, you do indeed burn to death, but this is fine, because in [1 trillion trillion minus one] possible worlds, you live and pay nothing. But you instead say that if you pick Left… something happens… and the bomb in the Left box, which you were just staring directly at, disappears somehow. Or wasn’t ever there (somehow), even though, again, you were just looking right at it.
How do you reconcile this disagreement? One of you has to be wrong about the consequences of picking the Left box.
I think we agree. My stance: if you Left-box, that just means the predictor predicted that with probability close to 1. From there on, there are a trillion trillion − 1 possible worlds where you live for free, and 1 where you die.
I’m not saying “You die, but that’s fine, because there are possible worlds where you live”. I’m saying that “you die” is a possible world, and there are way more possible worlds where you live.