“Thinking “the model says I will choose A, therefore I have to (???) choose A” is total nonsense.”
I choose whatever I want, knowing that it means the predictor predicted that choice.
In Bomb, if I choose Left, the predictor will have predicted that (given subjunctive dependence). Yes, the predictor said it predicted Right in the problem description; but if I choose Left, that simply means the problem ran differently from the start. It means, starting from the beginning, the predictor predicts I will choose Left, doesn’t put a bomb in Left, doesn’t leave the “I predicted you will pick Right”-note (but maybe leaves a “I predicted you will pick Left”-note) , and then I indeed choose Left, letting me live for free.
“Thinking “the model says I will choose A, therefore I have to (???) choose A” is total nonsense.”
I choose whatever I want, knowing that it means the predictor predicted that choice.
In Bomb, if I choose Left, the predictor will have predicted that (given subjunctive dependence). Yes, the predictor said it predicted Right in the problem description; but if I choose Left, that simply means the problem ran differently from the start. It means, starting from the beginning, the predictor predicts I will choose Left, doesn’t put a bomb in Left, doesn’t leave the “I predicted you will pick Right”-note (but maybe leaves a “I predicted you will pick Left”-note) , and then I indeed choose Left, letting me live for free.