That’s not particularly useful without the base rate of infection in those provinces, and it appears to at least double count (assuming ‘close contact’ is a reciprocal relationship, every case of two people in close contact both being infected would count as two cases of a close contact being infected).
Based on the upper estimate of 2.5 for R_0, those numbers suggest that the average person has fewer than 50 ‘close contacts’, and likely even fewer.
That’s not particularly useful without the base rate of infection in those provinces, and it appears to at least double count (assuming ‘close contact’ is a reciprocal relationship, every case of two people in close contact both being infected would count as two cases of a close contact being infected).
Based on the upper estimate of 2.5 for R_0, those numbers suggest that the average person has fewer than 50 ‘close contacts’, and likely even fewer.