The issue is that my positive expected value for cryo starts out as marginal. Once I account for the possible horrific outcomes, I’m not sure whether the resulting balance is positive at all. And if it is, I’m not sure it’s worth the drastic changes I would have to make right now for cryo to be viable. In order for cryo to make sense for me right now, I’d have to move from the Caribbean to somewhere nearer to Alcor where they can get my body in case I die. I’d then also have to move my company, start paying corporate and personal income taxes...
The current +EV from cryo seems minor enough to me to not warrant these changes, but I would sign up if it didn’t involve making a major compromise, and especially if I knew that the risk of a horrific outcome is nonexistent.
See VijayKrishnan’s comment for a much better writeup of the point I wanted to get across.
http://lesswrong.com/lw/1mh/that_magical_click/1hl8
The issue is that my positive expected value for cryo starts out as marginal. Once I account for the possible horrific outcomes, I’m not sure whether the resulting balance is positive at all. And if it is, I’m not sure it’s worth the drastic changes I would have to make right now for cryo to be viable. In order for cryo to make sense for me right now, I’d have to move from the Caribbean to somewhere nearer to Alcor where they can get my body in case I die. I’d then also have to move my company, start paying corporate and personal income taxes...
The current +EV from cryo seems minor enough to me to not warrant these changes, but I would sign up if it didn’t involve making a major compromise, and especially if I knew that the risk of a horrific outcome is nonexistent.