We really should have a short phrase for that. Suggestions? “The evidence would be likely given the hypothesis, but the hypothesis isn’t as likely given the evidence” would at least be a bit shorter.
I would probably express it as something like “you’re confusing a high likelihood with a high posterior,” which is less precise but I suspect would be understood by a Bayesian.
We really should have a short phrase for that. Suggestions? “The evidence would be likely given the hypothesis, but the hypothesis isn’t as likely given the evidence” would at least be a bit shorter.
I would probably express it as something like “you’re confusing a high likelihood with a high posterior,” which is less precise but I suspect would be understood by a Bayesian.