Man, like, anthropics is hard. Sometimes, when trying to propose an anthropic argument, you end up conditioning on something that is basically what you’re trying to elicit a probability of, and things get weird.
If it makes you feel better, I have a head for this stuff and I strongly suspect that what he said is complete bunk. But I’m waiting for confirmation before I make that judgment.
Man, like, anthropics is hard. Sometimes, when trying to propose an anthropic argument, you end up conditioning on something that is basically what you’re trying to elicit a probability of, and things get weird.
If it makes you feel better, I have a head for this stuff and I strongly suspect that what he said is complete bunk. But I’m waiting for confirmation before I make that judgment.