Its a reference to a bad,but locally popular argument from Jaynes. It holds, that since since, some forms of probability are subjective, they all are, and...ta-daaa ….the territory is therefore deterministic.
Name a probability that is not subjective. (And before you bring up quantum-mechanical collapse, I’d just like to say one thing: MWI. And before you complain about unfalsifiability, let me link you here.)
I don’t need definite proof of in-the-territory probability to support my actual point, which is that you can’t determine the existence or non existence of features of the territory by armchair reflection.
Of course you can’t determine whether something exists or not. There might yet be other probabilities out there that actually are objective. The fact that we have not discovered any such thing, however, is telling. Absence of evidence is evidence of absence. Therefore, it is likely—not certain, but likely—that no such probabilities exist. If your claim is that we cannot be certain of this, then of course you are correct. Such a claim, however, is trivial.
Its a reference to a bad,but locally popular argument from Jaynes. It holds, that since since, some forms of probability are subjective, they all are, and...ta-daaa ….the territory is therefore deterministic.
Name a probability that is not subjective. (And before you bring up quantum-mechanical collapse, I’d just like to say one thing: MWI. And before you complain about unfalsifiability, let me link you here.)
I don’t need definite proof of in-the-territory probability to support my actual point, which is that you can’t determine the existence or non existence of features of the territory by armchair reflection.
Of course you can’t determine whether something exists or not. There might yet be other probabilities out there that actually are objective. The fact that we have not discovered any such thing, however, is telling. Absence of evidence is evidence of absence. Therefore, it is likely—not certain, but likely—that no such probabilities exist. If your claim is that we cannot be certain of this, then of course you are correct. Such a claim, however, is trivial.