dfranke means, I think, that he considers being in a simulation possible, but not likely.
Statement A) “We are not living in a simulation”: P(living in a simulation) < 50%
Statement B) “We cannot be in a simulation”: P(living in a simulation) ~= 0%
dfranke believes A, but not B.
No, rather:
A) “We are not living in a simulation” = P(living in a simulation) < ε.
B) “we cannot be living in a simulation” = P(living in a simulation) = 0.
I believe A but not B. Think of it analogously to weak vs. strong atheism. I’m a weak atheist with respect to both simulations and God.
Ah, got it. Thanks.
That may be dfranke’s intent, but categorically stating something to be the case generally indicates a much higher confidence than 50%. (“If you roll a die, it will come up three or higher.”)
Thanks.
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dfranke means, I think, that he considers being in a simulation possible, but not likely.
Statement A) “We are not living in a simulation”: P(living in a simulation) < 50%
Statement B) “We cannot be in a simulation”: P(living in a simulation) ~= 0%
dfranke believes A, but not B.
No, rather:
A) “We are not living in a simulation” = P(living in a simulation) < ε.
B) “we cannot be living in a simulation” = P(living in a simulation) = 0.
I believe A but not B. Think of it analogously to weak vs. strong atheism. I’m a weak atheist with respect to both simulations and God.
Ah, got it. Thanks.
That may be dfranke’s intent, but categorically stating something to be the case generally indicates a much higher confidence than 50%. (“If you roll a die, it will come up three or higher.”)
Thanks.