“The true IFR likely has not dropped here quite as much as in other places, but our vaccination rates are not that much lower and our medical care is quite good and holding firm, so it’s likely falling almost as fast here as elsewhere.”
Some people on Twitter had a go at calculating how protection from hospitalisation via vaccination differs between UK and US—due to higher uptake in the oldest age groups the UK ends up 2-3x better (though simplistic calculation ignoring e.g. different vaccines).
“The true IFR likely has not dropped here quite as much as in other places, but our vaccination rates are not that much lower and our medical care is quite good and holding firm, so it’s likely falling almost as fast here as elsewhere.”
Some people on Twitter had a go at calculating how protection from hospitalisation via vaccination differs between UK and US—due to higher uptake in the oldest age groups the UK ends up 2-3x better (though simplistic calculation ignoring e.g. different vaccines).
https://twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1424133156735705093
https://twitter.com/VictimOfMaths/status/1425109797750333449