I think there are multiple kinds of attacks, which matter in this matrix. Destruction/stability is a different continuum from take control of resources/preserve control of resources.
I also think there’s no stasis—the state of accessible resources (heat gradients, in the end) in the universe will always be shifting until it’s truly over. There may be multi-millenea equilibria, where it feels like stasis on a sufficiently-abstract level, but there’s still lots of change. As a test of this intuition, the Earth has been static for millions of years, and then there was a shift when it started emitting patterned EM radiation, which has been static (though changing in complexity and intensity) for 150 years or so.
I agree with Daniel, as well, that coordination and attack-to-control leads to singleton (winner takes all). I think coordination and attack-to-destroy may lead to singleton, or may lead to cyclic destruction back to pre-coordination levels. Defense and coordination is kind of hard to define—perfect cooperation is a singleton, right? But then there’s neither attack nor defense. I kind of hope defense and coordination leads to independence and trade, but I doubt it’s stable—eventually the better producer gets enough strength that attack becomes attractive.
I think there are multiple kinds of attacks, which matter in this matrix. Destruction/stability is a different continuum from take control of resources/preserve control of resources.
I also think there’s no stasis—the state of accessible resources (heat gradients, in the end) in the universe will always be shifting until it’s truly over. There may be multi-millenea equilibria, where it feels like stasis on a sufficiently-abstract level, but there’s still lots of change. As a test of this intuition, the Earth has been static for millions of years, and then there was a shift when it started emitting patterned EM radiation, which has been static (though changing in complexity and intensity) for 150 years or so.
I agree with Daniel, as well, that coordination and attack-to-control leads to singleton (winner takes all). I think coordination and attack-to-destroy may lead to singleton, or may lead to cyclic destruction back to pre-coordination levels. Defense and coordination is kind of hard to define—perfect cooperation is a singleton, right? But then there’s neither attack nor defense. I kind of hope defense and coordination leads to independence and trade, but I doubt it’s stable—eventually the better producer gets enough strength that attack becomes attractive.