1% of women at age forty who participate in routine screening have breast cancer. 80% of women with breast cancer will get positive mammographies. 9.6% of women without breast cancer will also get positive mammographies. A woman in this age group had a positive mammography in a routine screening. What is the probability that she actually has breast cancer?
How about some basic probability question, like the expected value of something, or something that requires you to use Bayes’ theorem?
Do you have any example in mind?
An Intuitive Explaination of Bayes Theorem