Very interesting insight. It does feel like it solves the problem in some way, and yet in a quantum version as specified, it seems there must be a 1000_year_old_Villiam out there going “huh, I guess I was wrong back on Less Wrong that one time...” Can we really say he doesn’t count, even if his measure is small?
Viliam2016 is probably relatively young, healthy and living in a country with a fairly high quality of life, meaning that he can expect to live for several decades more at least. But as humans, our measure diminishes fairly slowly at first, but then starts diminishing much faster. For Viliam age 90, Viliam age 95 may seem like he doesn’t have that much measure; and for Viliam age 100, Viliam 101 may look like an unlikely freak of nature. But there’s only a few months difference there. So at which point do the unlikely future selves start to matter? (The same applies to younger, terminally ill Viliams as well.)
Very interesting insight. It does feel like it solves the problem in some way, and yet in a quantum version as specified, it seems there must be a 1000_year_old_Villiam out there going “huh, I guess I was wrong back on Less Wrong that one time...” Can we really say he doesn’t count, even if his measure is small?
He certainly counts for himself, but probably doesn’t for Viliam2016.
Viliam2016 is probably relatively young, healthy and living in a country with a fairly high quality of life, meaning that he can expect to live for several decades more at least. But as humans, our measure diminishes fairly slowly at first, but then starts diminishing much faster. For Viliam age 90, Viliam age 95 may seem like he doesn’t have that much measure; and for Viliam age 100, Viliam 101 may look like an unlikely freak of nature. But there’s only a few months difference there. So at which point do the unlikely future selves start to matter? (The same applies to younger, terminally ill Viliams as well.)