Can you expand on #3? Do you mean that this is happening now, that it could happen now (ie the data is already out there and just needs to be interpreted), or that it might happen in the near future (eg if brain science gets a bit better)?
Might have happened already. Probably hasn’t yet. Einstein’s papers were an anomaly. I wouldn’t be surprised some of the insights can be found here and there in the haystack but they haven’t been completed yet.
I don’t think the timeline has much to do with practical brain science. Math tends to advance faster than biology. Brain science just puts an upper bound on how long it’ll take to get there. In the slowest possible world, we crack the basic biological cortical algorithm by observing brains with high fidelity in real time.
Might have happened already. Probably hasn’t yet. Einstein’s papers were an anomaly. I wouldn’t be surprised some of the insights can be found here and there in the haystack but they haven’t been completed yet.
I don’t think the timeline has much to do with practical brain science. Math tends to advance faster than biology. Brain science just puts an upper bound on how long it’ll take to get there. In the slowest possible world, we crack the basic biological cortical algorithm by observing brains with high fidelity in real time.
At least 10%.