It’s a nice analogy, but it all rests on whether infinite evidence is a thing or not, and there aren’t arguments one way or the other here. (Sure, infinite evidence would mean “whatever log odds you come up with, this is even stronger”, but that doesn’t rule out it is a thing).
Like, how much evidence for the hypothesis “I’ll perceive the die to come up a 4” does the event “Ok, die was thrown and I am perceiving it to be a 3″ provide? Or how much evidence do I have of being conscious right now when I am feeling like something? I think any answer different from infinity is just playing a word game.
It’s a nice analogy, but it all rests on whether infinite evidence is a thing or not, and there aren’t arguments one way or the other here. (Sure, infinite evidence would mean “whatever log odds you come up with, this is even stronger”, but that doesn’t rule out it is a thing).
Like, how much evidence for the hypothesis “I’ll perceive the die to come up a 4” does the event “Ok, die was thrown and I am perceiving it to be a 3″ provide? Or how much evidence do I have of being conscious right now when I am feeling like something? I think any answer different from infinity is just playing a word game.