What could cause me to change my mind? Here are my cruxes.
If character assessment posts about particular people can be shown to cause a useful actions or ways of thinking for readers more often than they distract readers by unverifiable gossip.
If character assessment posts about particular people is used as a case study for reasoning about particular people to teach a broader lesson.
If character assessment posts about particular people allows community members to protect themselves from a real danger.
However, my beliefs are that these types of posts are juicy gossip that fuel idle speculation and status hierarchy games and serve no purpose except to make those who engage with content worse people who think more simplistically about human behavior and motivation. Even though this particular post is done fairly well for what it is, I think it is “bad form” and, perhaps, on the wrong site.
It makes me happy to see such a cruxy comment like this. Thanks.
The cruxes seem reasonable. However, I feel like it’s appropriate to upvote/downvote based on how confident you are on your position for each of them. Like, if it’s really clear that a particular post will have the consequence of pushing people really far towards distracting gossip and away from useful actions, then downvote. If the opposite, maybe upvote. If it’s unclear, probably do nothing.
If character assessment posts about particular people can be shown to cause a useful actions or ways of thinking for readers more often than they distract readers by unverifiable gossip.
Because this post is about the person who might be the most powerful person in the domain of AI, and thus is perhaps the most important person in the entire world, or even perhaps throughout history, I think it’s actually a decently important topic. Because of magnitude, not probability. Like, even if there is a low probability that we figure out the truth, and of P(useful action | figure out truth), the magnitude of the positive impact could very well be large, and so it seems to me like a topic that is plausibly worth exploring. Enough that I upvoted it.
If character assessment posts about particular people is used as a case study for reasoning about particular people to teach a broader lesson.
I think I personally have a tendency to see people like Sam Altman and Elon Musk and get caught up in thinking they’re so awesome, and then am a victim of the halo effect. I find concrete examples of “wait, they frequently do things that aren’t very awesome” helpful. I suspect the same is true for many others.
I stand by this comment.
What could cause me to change my mind? Here are my cruxes.
If character assessment posts about particular people can be shown to cause a useful actions or ways of thinking for readers more often than they distract readers by unverifiable gossip.
If character assessment posts about particular people is used as a case study for reasoning about particular people to teach a broader lesson.
If character assessment posts about particular people allows community members to protect themselves from a real danger.
However, my beliefs are that these types of posts are juicy gossip that fuel idle speculation and status hierarchy games and serve no purpose except to make those who engage with content worse people who think more simplistically about human behavior and motivation. Even though this particular post is done fairly well for what it is, I think it is “bad form” and, perhaps, on the wrong site.
It makes me happy to see such a cruxy comment like this. Thanks.
The cruxes seem reasonable. However, I feel like it’s appropriate to upvote/downvote based on how confident you are on your position for each of them. Like, if it’s really clear that a particular post will have the consequence of pushing people really far towards distracting gossip and away from useful actions, then downvote. If the opposite, maybe upvote. If it’s unclear, probably do nothing.
Because this post is about the person who might be the most powerful person in the domain of AI, and thus is perhaps the most important person in the entire world, or even perhaps throughout history, I think it’s actually a decently important topic. Because of magnitude, not probability. Like, even if there is a low probability that we figure out the truth, and of
P(useful action | figure out truth)
, the magnitude of the positive impact could very well be large, and so it seems to me like a topic that is plausibly worth exploring. Enough that I upvoted it.I think I personally have a tendency to see people like Sam Altman and Elon Musk and get caught up in thinking they’re so awesome, and then am a victim of the halo effect. I find concrete examples of “wait, they frequently do things that aren’t very awesome” helpful. I suspect the same is true for many others.