This point has also been made before: predictions of short-term stagnation without also simultaneously bumping back AGI timelines would appear to imply steep acceleration at some point, in order for the necessary amounts of progress to ‘fit’ in the later time periods.
This point has also been made before: predictions of short-term stagnation without also simultaneously bumping back AGI timelines would appear to imply steep acceleration at some point, in order for the necessary amounts of progress to ‘fit’ in the later time periods.