I think making progress on ML is pretty hard. In order for a single AI to self improve quickly enough that it changed timelines, it would have to improve close to as fast as the speed at which all of the humans working on it could improve it. I don’t know why you would expect to see such superhuman coding/science capabilities without other kinds of superintelligence.
I think making progress on ML is pretty hard. In order for a single AI to self improve quickly enough that it changed timelines, it would have to improve close to as fast as the speed at which all of the humans working on it could improve it. I don’t know why you would expect to see such superhuman coding/science capabilities without other kinds of superintelligence.