I’m honestly not even sure whether this comment is in support of or against my disagreements.
I’m skeptical of the “recursive self-improvement leads to enormous gains in intelligence over days” story but I support the “more automation leads to faster R&D leads to more automation, etc.” story which is also a form of recursive self-improvement-just over the span of years rather than days.
Recursion is an empirical fact. It works numerous places. Computing itself that led to AI was recursive—the tools that allow for high end/high performance silicon chips require previous generations of those chips to function. (to be fair the coupling is loose, Intel could design better chips using 5-10 year old desktops and servers and some of their equipment is that outdated)
Electric power generator production for all currently used types require electric power from prior generators, etc.
I’m honestly not even sure whether this comment is in support of or against my disagreements.
I’m skeptical of the “recursive self-improvement leads to enormous gains in intelligence over days” story but I support the “more automation leads to faster R&D leads to more automation, etc.” story which is also a form of recursive self-improvement-just over the span of years rather than days.
Recursion is an empirical fact. It works numerous places. Computing itself that led to AI was recursive—the tools that allow for high end/high performance silicon chips require previous generations of those chips to function. (to be fair the coupling is loose, Intel could design better chips using 5-10 year old desktops and servers and some of their equipment is that outdated)
Electric power generator production for all currently used types require electric power from prior generators, etc.
But yeah it so far hasn’t happened in days.