I like the fish metaphor for conservation of expected evidence, but I don’t think the “for many reasons” phrase fits well with it. That phrase usually doesn’t involve the dynamic component of repeated updating. The reasons are just all there, they don’t come sequentially over time.
I like the fish metaphor for conservation of expected evidence, but I don’t think the “for many reasons” phrase fits well with it. That phrase usually doesn’t involve the dynamic component of repeated updating. The reasons are just all there, they don’t come sequentially over time.