Current AI systems aren’t capable of doing large-scale software development in non-AI domains. Eg there is no AI-written operating system, compiler, or database (even though minimal versions of these are often done by individual students as single semester capstone projects). I don’t think we can infer much of anything from the fact that recursive self improvement hasn’t happened yet until after that threshold is crossed.
Current AI systems aren’t capable of doing large-scale software development in non-AI domains. Eg there is no AI-written operating system, compiler, or database (even though minimal versions of these are often done by individual students as single semester capstone projects). I don’t think we can infer much of anything from the fact that recursive self improvement hasn’t happened yet until after that threshold is crossed.