Prediction isn’t based on occams razor alone: you need the unuvers, reality, the place where your data are coming from to play nice by having compressible patterns. Which means that you need external reality.
All you need is that Occam works well for predicting your observations. Doesn’t require realism, that’s an added assumption.
Reality is where observations come from.
Yes, that’s the added assumption. It’s neither required nor coherent.
Current theme: default
Less Wrong (text)
Less Wrong (link)
Arrow keys: Next/previous image
Escape or click: Hide zoomed image
Space bar: Reset image size & position
Scroll to zoom in/out
(When zoomed in, drag to pan; double-click to close)
Keys shown in yellow (e.g., ]) are accesskeys, and require a browser-specific modifier key (or keys).
]
Keys shown in grey (e.g., ?) do not require any modifier keys.
?
Esc
h
f
a
m
v
c
r
q
t
u
o
,
.
/
s
n
e
;
Enter
[
\
k
i
l
=
-
0
′
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
→
↓
←
↑
Space
x
z
`
g
Prediction isn’t based on occams razor alone: you need the unuvers, reality, the place where your data are coming from to play nice by having compressible patterns. Which means that you need external reality.
All you need is that Occam works well for predicting your observations. Doesn’t require realism, that’s an added assumption.
Reality is where observations come from.
Yes, that’s the added assumption. It’s neither required nor coherent.