Recovering Irrationalist:
Only a couple daft things. OK 6 at least, maybe 7. “cryonics can’t fail” has to be replaced by “the chance of cryonics working is not tiny”, which seems to be a reasonable evaluation. Likewise, for all subsequent uses of “can’t”. We always work with probability distributions here.
The possible daft thing is taking Eleizer too literally. He clearly didn’t literally mean that we had lost our right to criticize Paris. I’m welcome to criticize anyone, and have been known to criticize lots of people who do Calorie Restriction, which seems more useful and cheaper than cryonics ignoring willpower costs, even though I no longer do CR myself.
Maybe the post should be read as “Yay Cryonics!”, a sentiment that I would second.
OTOH, as I have said many times before, it seems to me that if the current chance of Friendly Singularity is extremely low and the expected chance of cryonics working is low or vice versa the expected personal selfish value of signing up for cryonics may still be less than that for donating to SIAI.
Recovering Irrationalist: Only a couple daft things. OK 6 at least, maybe 7. “cryonics can’t fail” has to be replaced by “the chance of cryonics working is not tiny”, which seems to be a reasonable evaluation. Likewise, for all subsequent uses of “can’t”. We always work with probability distributions here. The possible daft thing is taking Eleizer too literally. He clearly didn’t literally mean that we had lost our right to criticize Paris. I’m welcome to criticize anyone, and have been known to criticize lots of people who do Calorie Restriction, which seems more useful and cheaper than cryonics ignoring willpower costs, even though I no longer do CR myself. Maybe the post should be read as “Yay Cryonics!”, a sentiment that I would second. OTOH, as I have said many times before, it seems to me that if the current chance of Friendly Singularity is extremely low and the expected chance of cryonics working is low or vice versa the expected personal selfish value of signing up for cryonics may still be less than that for donating to SIAI.