The same commercial viability might cause big labs like DeepMind to stop openly publishing their research (as I expected would happen). If this happens, it will slow down the AGI timelines.
Looks like this indeed happened: https://www.businessinsider.com/google-publishing-less-confidential-ai-research-to-compete-with-openai-2023-4 .
Looks like this indeed happened: https://www.businessinsider.com/google-publishing-less-confidential-ai-research-to-compete-with-openai-2023-4 .