These unconscious strategies optimized or satisficed in the ancestral environment, when people weren’t conscious of enough relevant factors to make long chains of reasoning (or quantitative thinking) obviously superior to their unconscious heuristics and biases.
These unconscious strategies optimized or satisficed in the ancestral environment, when people weren’t conscious of enough relevant factors to make long chains of reasoning (or quantitative thinking) obviously superior to their unconscious heuristics and biases.
They’re clearly far from optimal (and sometimes far from satisfactory) in the modern developed world.
Some things have changed way too fast for evolution to keep up.