For ha, this is the policy that is optimal when q=0 which has u(ha)=a(ha). Then dudE(K)<0.
Please could you explain how you get dudE(K)<0 when u=a=E(A(1−K))?
Possibly a dumb question but I don’t have a good intuition for what it means to differentiate an expected value with respect to an expected value.
I can see that this is the case when A is positive (as expected for a utility function) and uncorrelated with K, but is is true in general? Even when A is strongly correlated (or anti-correlated) with K? They would presumably be correlated in some way since they both depend on the policy pursued.
Also, how would this work for a utility function A which is negative? In theory we should be able to apply an affine shift to a utility function so that it has a negative expected value. If A was uncorrelated with K but has a negative expected value then dudE(K)>0 , right? Can we do a similar affine shift to B to ensure that there won’t necessarily be a value of q where dudE(K)=0?
Please could you explain how you get dudE(K)<0 when u=a=E(A(1−K))?
Possibly a dumb question but I don’t have a good intuition for what it means to differentiate an expected value with respect to an expected value.
I can see that this is the case when A is positive (as expected for a utility function) and uncorrelated with K, but is is true in general? Even when A is strongly correlated (or anti-correlated) with K? They would presumably be correlated in some way since they both depend on the policy pursued.
Also, how would this work for a utility function A which is negative? In theory we should be able to apply an affine shift to a utility function so that it has a negative expected value. If A was uncorrelated with K but has a negative expected value then dudE(K)>0 , right? Can we do a similar affine shift to B to ensure that there won’t necessarily be a value of q where dudE(K)=0?