11. Will the scientific consensus end up being that hydroxychloroquine was significantly effective?
UpToDate, the closest thing to a canonical medical recommendation site, currently says: “We suggest not using hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine in hospitalized patients given the lack of clear benefit and potential for toxicity. In June 2020, the US FDA revoked its emergency use authorization for these agents in patients with severe COVID-19, noting that the known and potential benefits no longer outweighed the known and potential risks”. False.
What surprised me most in this bet was how the significant number of studies that were started about HCQ—not only in the US—were basically all buried. None show any updates, not even negative results even long after their expected end dates.
Zvi won.
Scott:
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-judging-april-covid
hurrah! betting ftw!
What surprised me most in this bet was how the significant number of studies that were started about HCQ—not only in the US—were basically all buried. None show any updates, not even negative results even long after their expected end dates.