What’s probably going to be really difficult is not getting automated cars on the market, but getting all the non-automated cars off the road. An entirely automated traffic flow would be much safer than a partly automated traffic flow, but there are going to be lots of holdouts who refuse to trust an automated car over their own driving ability, or who simply can’t or won’t buy an up-to-date car.
When automated cars are at 90% or so, and if you keep on getting statistics like how many accidents and deaths are caused by humans versus machines, I think the pressure to go all automated will be strong. Some municipalities and states will go for it, and then it’ll be hard to get anywhere with a human-driven car.
What’s probably going to be really difficult is not getting automated cars on the market, but getting all the non-automated cars off the road. An entirely automated traffic flow would be much safer than a partly automated traffic flow, but there are going to be lots of holdouts who refuse to trust an automated car over their own driving ability, or who simply can’t or won’t buy an up-to-date car.
All good points, I addressed some of them in my previous comment on self-driving cars.
When automated cars are at 90% or so, and if you keep on getting statistics like how many accidents and deaths are caused by humans versus machines, I think the pressure to go all automated will be strong. Some municipalities and states will go for it, and then it’ll be hard to get anywhere with a human-driven car.
I suspect getting the prevalence as high as 90% will be pretty difficult itself.