viking_math comments on On coincidences and Bayesian reasoning, as applied to the origins of COVID-19

[viking_math]

https://​​arbital.com/​​p/​​multiple_stage_fallacy/​​ ?

[romeostevensit]

Interesting that conjunctive fallacy is a broadly used term but disjunctive fallacy is not.

[viking_math]

What would the disjunctive fallacy be? Failing to account for the fact that P(A or B) >= P(A) and P(B)?

[romeostevensit]

assumption of independence