He has no epistemic rationality to speak of. He can convince himself that anything is true, no matter what the evidence.
Having only interacted with his public persona, I am unwilling to comment on his private beliefs.
His professional life gives a great example of looking into the dark, though, in insisting on a “heads I win tails you lose” deal with Bain to start Bain Capital. I don’t know if that was because he was generally cautious or because he stopped and asked “what if our theories are wrong?”, but the latter seems more likely to me.
He has no epistemic rationality to speak of. He can convince himself that anything is true, no matter what the evidence.
Having only interacted with his public persona, I am unwilling to comment on his private beliefs.
The public persona, that which you can actually interact with, is the only one that matters for the purpose of choosing whether to believe what people say. If this person (I assume he is an American political figure of some sort?) happens to be a brilliant epistemic rationalists merely pretending convincingly that he is utterly (epistemically) irrational then you still shouldn’t pay any attention to what he says.
I agree that, in general, public statements by politicians should not be taken very seriously, and Romney is no exception. I think the examples of actions he’s taken, particularly in his pre-political life, are more informative.
I assume he is an American political figure of some sort?
Yes. Previously, he was a management consultant who helped develop the practice of buying companies explicitly to reshape them, which was a great application of “wait, if we believe that we actually help companies, then we’re in a perfect position to buy low and sell high.”
Having only interacted with his public persona, I am unwilling to comment on his private beliefs.
His professional life gives a great example of looking into the dark, though, in insisting on a “heads I win tails you lose” deal with Bain to start Bain Capital. I don’t know if that was because he was generally cautious or because he stopped and asked “what if our theories are wrong?”, but the latter seems more likely to me.
The public persona, that which you can actually interact with, is the only one that matters for the purpose of choosing whether to believe what people say. If this person (I assume he is an American political figure of some sort?) happens to be a brilliant epistemic rationalists merely pretending convincingly that he is utterly (epistemically) irrational then you still shouldn’t pay any attention to what he says.
I agree that, in general, public statements by politicians should not be taken very seriously, and Romney is no exception. I think the examples of actions he’s taken, particularly in his pre-political life, are more informative.
Yes. Previously, he was a management consultant who helped develop the practice of buying companies explicitly to reshape them, which was a great application of “wait, if we believe that we actually help companies, then we’re in a perfect position to buy low and sell high.”