Thanks. I had seen Davidson’s model, it’s a nice piece of work. I had not previously read it closely enough to note that he does discuss the question of whether RSI is likely to converge or diverge, but I see that now. For instance (emphasis added):
We are restricting ourselves only to efficiency software improvements, i.e. ones that decrease the physical FLOP/s to achieve a given capability. With this restriction, the mathematical condition for a singularity here is the same as before: each doubling of cumulative inputs must more than double the efficiency of AI algorithms. If this holds, then the efficiency of running AGIs (of fixed ability) will double faster and faster over time. Let’s call this an “efficiency-only singularity”, which is of course an example of a software-only singularity.
I’ll need some time to thoroughly digest what he has to say on this topic.
Thanks. I had seen Davidson’s model, it’s a nice piece of work. I had not previously read it closely enough to note that he does discuss the question of whether RSI is likely to converge or diverge, but I see that now. For instance (emphasis added):
I’ll need some time to thoroughly digest what he has to say on this topic.