Assume really long covid scales similarly to death and hospitalization
This doesn’t at all feel obvious to me? At least, I’d put a decent (>20%) chance that this is not true. Eg Long COVID isn’t that correlated with hospitalisation
I expect that resistance to long covid is somewhere between resistance to infection and resistance to hospitalisation. This might roughly double the expected numbers of deaths / long covid.
This doesn’t at all feel obvious to me? At least, I’d put a decent (>20%) chance that this is not true. Eg Long COVID isn’t that correlated with hospitalisation
Agreed.
I expect that resistance to long covid is somewhere between resistance to infection and resistance to hospitalisation. This might roughly double the expected numbers of deaths / long covid.