You need to use conservation of expected evidence. You can’t say something is evidence against the simulation evidence without saying what crazy event would need to happen to provide evidence for the simulation hypothesis.
A lot of crazy stuff is happening in our world. (Elon Musk, political figures, whatever) If lack of one crazy thing is evidence against hypothesis, then existence of crazy things must be evidence for the hypothesis. If you only see it one way, you violate the law of conservation of expected evidence.
You can’t say something is evidence against the simulation evidence without saying what crazy event would need to happen to provide evidence for the simulation hypothesis.
He has already provided that—since not seeing spider-man is evidence against simulation, it follows that seeing spider-man, or another person who could apparently violate the laws of physics, would be strong evidence for a simulation. Conservation of evidence is not being violated here.
I would say that the existence of superheroes/villains, wizards, etc would be the kind of crazy things I’m talking about. I would posit that a pretty high percent of video games (aka low-fidelity simulations) have a player who can do things easily that even the most elite athletes can’t approach in real life. I’m talking about having physical abilities like 100x or 1000x average, or abilities different in kind such as the ability to fly unaided, shoot lasers from their eyes, breathe water, throw fireballs, survive dozens of gunshots, etc. That would be essentially “Spider-Man” in my analogy. But you don’t see that.
Untrained men’s average bench press doesn’t have super reliable sources but one source I saw put it at 110 lbs. I think that’s a little high, so let’s call it more like 75lb. That puts the world record (unaided) bench press at 10x average—not Spider-Man/Superman/Hulk/etc territory. Similarly, average running speed is (conservatively) 5mph. Top sprint speed ever recorded is 28mph—much faster but less than 6x, not The Flash territory.
In short, there are elite athletes but no superheroes or wizards.
If the theory is true, his memories of his childhood aren’t real (because who would sign up for that), the player was probably patched in some time after the player character started getting his hair back. (Or maybe just prior, so that he could the climb over the hedonic setpoint)
In the base universe, he’s probably just a normal engineer, a few months after receiving a servant superintelligence, with almost no mental augmentations. He asked for the best, most realistic video game ever. He wanted it to have a mars adventure in it. And now he’s trying to play the hero role by reproducing the flawed singularity of the base universe, in ours.
But I think he probably wont. The game will end with a twist. :)
You need to use conservation of expected evidence. You can’t say something is evidence against the simulation evidence without saying what crazy event would need to happen to provide evidence for the simulation hypothesis.
A lot of crazy stuff is happening in our world. (Elon Musk, political figures, whatever) If lack of one crazy thing is evidence against hypothesis, then existence of crazy things must be evidence for the hypothesis. If you only see it one way, you violate the law of conservation of expected evidence.
He has already provided that—since not seeing spider-man is evidence against simulation, it follows that seeing spider-man, or another person who could apparently violate the laws of physics, would be strong evidence for a simulation. Conservation of evidence is not being violated here.
This makes sense. I’ve changed my mind, thanks!
I would say that the existence of superheroes/villains, wizards, etc would be the kind of crazy things I’m talking about. I would posit that a pretty high percent of video games (aka low-fidelity simulations) have a player who can do things easily that even the most elite athletes can’t approach in real life. I’m talking about having physical abilities like 100x or 1000x average, or abilities different in kind such as the ability to fly unaided, shoot lasers from their eyes, breathe water, throw fireballs, survive dozens of gunshots, etc. That would be essentially “Spider-Man” in my analogy. But you don’t see that.
Untrained men’s average bench press doesn’t have super reliable sources but one source I saw put it at 110 lbs. I think that’s a little high, so let’s call it more like 75lb. That puts the world record (unaided) bench press at 10x average—not Spider-Man/Superman/Hulk/etc territory. Similarly, average running speed is (conservatively) 5mph. Top sprint speed ever recorded is 28mph—much faster but less than 6x, not The Flash territory.
In short, there are elite athletes but no superheroes or wizards.
p.s. I could totally see an advanced alien playing Elon Musk :P
nah musk is wayyyyy too human and seems like too much of a product of his circumstances just like the rest of us for that to make sense to me
More likely a human is playing him, a crude one.
If the theory is true, his memories of his childhood aren’t real (because who would sign up for that), the player was probably patched in some time after the player character started getting his hair back. (Or maybe just prior, so that he could the climb over the hedonic setpoint)
In the base universe, he’s probably just a normal engineer, a few months after receiving a servant superintelligence, with almost no mental augmentations. He asked for the best, most realistic video game ever. He wanted it to have a mars adventure in it. And now he’s trying to play the hero role by reproducing the flawed singularity of the base universe, in ours.
But I think he probably wont. The game will end with a twist. :)