You seem to be assigning a high probability to exotic problems (information isn’t preserved by freezing, global apocalypse) and a low probability to mundane problems (you die of Alzheimer’s, cryonics companies go out of business). The reverse seems more likely to me.
The nice thing about these mundane probabilities is that we have precedent and can calculate them. Not that many people die of Alzheimers; it’s pretty rare. We don’t have a reason to think it’s going to get more common, do we? But new technology I know little about could kill everyone. Or there could be something (electrical?) needed for the brain to work, and freezing doesn’t capture it. Without data that we don’t have yet (actually reviving a vitrified brain, seeing what gets invented and how it is applied) I don’t think it makes sense to assume bad outcomes are unlikely.
I think you (and several other people) are right that the company going out of business is more likely than I have it; one already did.
I think you (and several other people) are right that the company going out of business is more likely than I have it; one already did.
It’s worth noting they went out of business due to very bad financial practices, and all the major firms take a pretty paranoid view of economics to ensure this doesn’t happen again. My gut instinct is that it’s now a lot LESS likely than it used to be, because of the precautions it inspired.
You seem to be assigning a high probability to exotic problems (information isn’t preserved by freezing, global apocalypse) and a low probability to mundane problems (you die of Alzheimer’s, cryonics companies go out of business). The reverse seems more likely to me.
The nice thing about these mundane probabilities is that we have precedent and can calculate them. Not that many people die of Alzheimers; it’s pretty rare. We don’t have a reason to think it’s going to get more common, do we? But new technology I know little about could kill everyone. Or there could be something (electrical?) needed for the brain to work, and freezing doesn’t capture it. Without data that we don’t have yet (actually reviving a vitrified brain, seeing what gets invented and how it is applied) I don’t think it makes sense to assume bad outcomes are unlikely.
I think you (and several other people) are right that the company going out of business is more likely than I have it; one already did.
It’s worth noting they went out of business due to very bad financial practices, and all the major firms take a pretty paranoid view of economics to ensure this doesn’t happen again. My gut instinct is that it’s now a lot LESS likely than it used to be, because of the precautions it inspired.