But since there is no rational evidence to support the claim of A
I’m not sure the word “rational” is the best word to pick in that sentence. The fact that there are myths of Zeus is Bayesianevidence that Zeus exists. It isn’t strong evidence but it’s evidence in the Bayesian sense. On LW the notions of rational and Bayesian are linked together. If you mean something different with rational than is usually meant in this place you should explain your notion.
“Academic” might be a word that fits better.
But since there is no rational evidence to support the claim of A, the required effort is significantly large and the methods appear strange to those not understanding the state how can B rationally decide to expend the effort?
It’s basically about trust. Does Bob trust Alice when she tells him about Lucid dreaming? It’s not that different from other issues of trust. If you lend someone a book, do you trust them to give it back? There is no academic evidence on which you can rely to know whether they will give the book back.
You trust people by analyzing their track record. You can also compare them to other people that you know to establish whether you should trust them.
Yes, I see what you are saying. What about this rephrasing:
But since there is no sufficient evidence to support the claim of A, the required effort is significantly large and the methods appear strange to those not understanding the state, how can B rationally decide to expend the effort?
I wonder if trust is the only strategy there and, if so, what are some good strategies for choosing who to trust. I will have to ponder this further but is there some material on LW on trust. I am curious to see the perspective of the community on this.
I’m not sure the word “rational” is the best word to pick in that sentence. The fact that there are myths of Zeus is Bayesianevidence that Zeus exists. It isn’t strong evidence but it’s evidence in the Bayesian sense. On LW the notions of rational and Bayesian are linked together. If you mean something different with rational than is usually meant in this place you should explain your notion.
“Academic” might be a word that fits better.
It’s basically about trust. Does Bob trust Alice when she tells him about Lucid dreaming? It’s not that different from other issues of trust. If you lend someone a book, do you trust them to give it back? There is no academic evidence on which you can rely to know whether they will give the book back.
You trust people by analyzing their track record. You can also compare them to other people that you know to establish whether you should trust them.
Yes, I see what you are saying. What about this rephrasing:
I wonder if trust is the only strategy there and, if so, what are some good strategies for choosing who to trust. I will have to ponder this further but is there some material on LW on trust. I am curious to see the perspective of the community on this.
Thanks!
I wrote http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/oe0/predictionbased_medicine_pbm/ to suggest a change on a broader level.
When it comes to the personal level I’m however at the moment not aware of a good LW post that speaks explicitly about trust.