Ukraine’s offer was for surrender and amnesty, not defection, and I think the word choice makes a difference. I would not be surprised if Russia punishes friends and family for defections. I think there’s also an escalation risk of EU offers it. But overall worth considering.
Unnecessarily risky. Drones and portable AA can accomplish the same goals. In fact, portable AA may be preferable. Much easier for Russia to knock out Ukraine’s ability to keep jets in the air than it is for them to knock MPAA and drones.
If an EU/NATO country also managed to extend the amnesty/defection deal to immediate family, and introduced @maximkazhenkov’s quite clever “first defectors” incentive, then I am not certain the war would last longer than a couple months.
Ukraine’s offer was for surrender and amnesty, not defection, and I think the word choice makes a difference. I would not be surprised if Russia punishes friends and family for defections. I think there’s also an escalation risk of EU offers it. But overall worth considering.
Unnecessarily risky. Drones and portable AA can accomplish the same goals. In fact, portable AA may be preferable. Much easier for Russia to knock out Ukraine’s ability to keep jets in the air than it is for them to knock MPAA and drones.
If an EU/NATO country also managed to extend the amnesty/defection deal to immediate family, and introduced @maximkazhenkov’s quite clever “first defectors” incentive, then I am not certain the war would last longer than a couple months.