Are you saying that no one expected the printing money (bidding up gold) before it happened, or is there a more subtle reason why the only relevant comparison is from the moment the policy called QE started?
Someone who bought gold after the Lehman fiasco (08), but before any of those QE milestones would have had several options since then to redeem for 2-3x gain.
It’s an even bigger gap if you compare to any year before, back to ~98. S&P has had a horrible volatility/return performance going back to at least then.
The S&P 500 has outperformed gold since quantitative easing began. I don’t believe there has been a time past four >years where a $100 gold purchase would be worth more today than a $100 S&P 500 purchase.
According to Wikipedia, QE1 started in late November 2008. Between November 28th 2008 and December 11th 2012 these were their respective returns:
Gold: 110%
S&P500: 47,39%
Now Index-funds are normally better, but just look at the returns from late 2004 to today:
Gold: 165%
S&P500: 45%
Gold has been rising more or less steadily over all those years except for 2005 and 2012 (stagnant) and 2013 (falling). It hasn’t tripled, but for the 2004-2012 it was a good buy.
The S&P 500 has outperformed gold since quantitative easing began. I don’t believe there has been a time past four years where a $100 gold purchase would be worth more today than a $100 S&P 500 purchase.
Are you saying that no one expected the printing money (bidding up gold) before it happened, or is there a more subtle reason why the only relevant comparison is from the moment the policy called QE started?
Someone who bought gold after the Lehman fiasco (08), but before any of those QE milestones would have had several options since then to redeem for 2-3x gain.
It’s an even bigger gap if you compare to any year before, back to ~98. S&P has had a horrible volatility/return performance going back to at least then.
According to Wikipedia, QE1 started in late November 2008. Between November 28th 2008 and December 11th 2012 these were their respective returns:
Gold: 110% S&P500: 47,39%
Now Index-funds are normally better, but just look at the returns from late 2004 to today:
Gold: 165% S&P500: 45%
Gold has been rising more or less steadily over all those years except for 2005 and 2012 (stagnant) and 2013 (falling). It hasn’t tripled, but for the 2004-2012 it was a good buy.